In September, Marin buyers ran into a problem money alone couldn’t fix: there was almost nothing to buy. Active single-family listings fell 27% from a year ago, new listings dropped 18%, and supply tightened to roughly two months. Scarce as it was, buyers still pushed closings up 12% over last September. They just had to fight harder for a much smaller pool of homes.

That fight showed up everywhere except the price tag. Half of all single-family homes sold over asking, up 12 points from a year ago. The average sale closed at 103% of list price, and the typical home went into contract in 32 days, ten days faster than last fall. Yet the countywide median rose a measured 3% to $1.7 million. Marin buyers are moving fast and bidding up, but they aren’t overpaying.

Condos told the calmer story: steady sales but softer pricing, with a $600K median essentially flat year over year and more sellers trimming to meet the market. The split makes sense against the backdrop. With mortgage rates near 7.56% and the stock market close to record highs, demand is thinning at the entry level while Marin’s high end, powered by cash and equity, holds firm.

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Every Marin town is running on its own clock right now, and the countywide numbers only tell part of the story. If you’re weighing a move this fall, let’s talk about what it means for your street and your home. Reach out to the McCarthy + Moe Group.

Source: Compass October 2026 Marin County Market Outlook, with data through September 2026.